Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Bush
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Kerry
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Kerry
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Kerry

Kerry + 1.1%
Kerry 284- Bush 254

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

My Prediction:
Kerry picks up NH
Bush picks up WI,IA,NM
Bush 296 Kerry 242
Senate GOP 52 seats

http://ncdweb.dyndns.org:9200/electoralprediction.jpg

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

AR (6)--Bush
CO (9)--Bush
IA (7)--Bush
FL (27)--Bush
HI (4) --Kerry
ME (4)--Kerry
MN (10)--Kerry
MI (17)--Kerry
MO (11)--Bush
NH (4)--Kerry
NJ (15)--Kerry
NM (5)--Bush
NV (5)--Bush
OH (20)--Bush
OR (7)--Kerry
PA (21)--Kerry
WV (5)--Bush
WA (11)--Kerry
WI (10)--Bush
Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Bush by 2.5%
Electoral Result: Bush wins 296-242

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

AR (6) Bush
CO (9) Bush
IA (7) Bush
FL (27) Bush
HI (4) Kerry
ME (4) Kerry
MN (10) Kerry
MI (17) Kerry
MO (11) Bush
NH (4) Kerry
NJ (15) Kerry
NM (5) Bush
NV (5) Bush
OH (20) Kerry
OR (7) Kerry
PA (21) Kerry
WV (5) Bush
WA (11) Kerry
WI (10) Kerry

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry by 1.5%

Electoral Result: (Kerry) 272 v. 266 (Conservative guesstimate - FL could go either way, IA a Kerry possibility as well.)

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

lorinda -

Another possibility (for a tie) - Bush carries OH and WI, but loses FL.

A tie is not out of the question.

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

from the Washington Post, predictions from pundits and politicos:

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-s...stalBall04.jpg

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Kerry
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Bush
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Kerry
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Bush

Kerry 296
Bush 242

Popular Vote: Kerry +1.8

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

Bush
AR (6)
CO (9)
IA (7)
FL (27)
MO (11)
NM (5)
NV (5)
WV (5)



Kerry
HI (4)
ME (4)
MN (10)
MI (17)
NH (4)
NJ (15)
OH (20)
OR (7)
PA (21)
WA (11)
WI (10)

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +1.0

Electoral Result: Kerry 272 Bush 266

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

AR (6) -- Bush
CO (9) -- Bush
IA (7) -- Bush
FL (27) -- Bush
HI (4) -- Kerry
ME (4) -- Kerry
MN (10) -- Kerry
MI (17) -- Kerry
MO (11) -- Bush
NH (4) -- Kerry
NJ (15) -- Kerry
NM (5) -- Bush
NV (5) -- Bush
OH (20) -- Kerry
OR (7) -- Kerry
PA (21) -- Kerry
WV (5) -- Bush
WA (11) -- Kerry
WI (10) -- Kerry
Popular Vote margin: Bush 1.2%
Electoral Result: Kerry 272-266

Re: Swing State prediction contest
 

AR (6) - Bush
CO (9) - Bush
IA (7) - Kerry
FL (27) - Kerry
HI (4) - Kerry
ME (4) - Kerry
MN (10) - Kerry
MI (17) - Kerry
MO (11) - Bush
NH (4) - Kerry
NJ (15) - Kerry
NM (5) - Bush
NV (5) - Bush
OH (20) - Bush
OR (7) - Kerry
PA (21) - Kerry
WV (5) - Bush
WA (11) - Kerry
WI (10) - Kerry

Popular Vote margin (to tenth of a decimal place): Kerry +0.9
Electoral Result: Kerry 286, Bush 252.

D.