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View Full Version : 3 to a flush and 3 to a straight

jacki
01-01-2004, 01:54 PM
Example:
Holding J /images/graemlins/heart.gif T /images/graemlins/heart.gif
Flop is 9 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 4 /images/graemlins/heart.gif 2 /images/graemlins/club.gif

What are your odds of hitting the flush or straight, or are the odds of hitting your flush or straight even worth figuring?

bigpooch
01-01-2004, 06:16 PM
A useful number to remember is 1081, the number of card
combinations after the flop. Of these, you will make a
flush C(10,2)= 45 times and a straight, 3x(16-1)=45 times
or altogether 90 times or about 8.3256% of the time. In
this specific case, you could also hit an overcard which
might be good.

trillig
01-03-2004, 05:53 AM
In most cases that is an auto-fold to any bet, unless there was some insane betting preflop.

About 1 out ever 12 of those you would hit either flush or straight, trouble is with flush, not likely to be the nuts.

I wouldn't advise chasing that one.

-t

RatTamago
01-04-2004, 11:41 AM
bigpooch,

Could you please clarify how you calculated the # of str draws? I dont understand the short hand 3*(16-1)...
though your method seems MUCH easier than how I would do it.

Paul

bigpooch
01-04-2004, 06:53 PM
Suppose you have Th9h and the board is 8s3h2d. There are 3
combinations of straights than can show up: QJ, J7 and 76,
hence the first factor. The second factor is just the suit
combinations of these: 4 x 4 - 1 (can't be both hearts for