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View Full Version : What are the fuken odds?

ginko
10-14-2005, 05:34 PM
What are the odds of getting KKvAA 7 times when Ive been dealth KK 30 times or less? HOLY [censored] THE POKER GODS HATE ME.

AaronBrown
10-14-2005, 06:19 PM
It depends how many people are at the table. If it's 9 opponents, it's about 1 in 4,200. That's unlikely, but it's not wildly so. It's on the order of getting a straight flush. That's unlikely too, but it happens.

soko
10-14-2005, 06:39 PM
AaronBrown, you forgot to add in the probability that the poker gods just hate him.

10-14-2005, 08:04 PM
if you have KK at a 9 person game, the chances are roughly 220/8 that someone has AA. 27 to 1

4200, get real.

10-14-2005, 09:09 PM
I did a simulation (100000 hands) of 9 players being dealt random rands and 3.9% of the time at least one opponent will have AA given that one opponent has been dealt KK.

So, the chance that you will be up against AA exactly 7 times in 30 trials is like 1 in 8900.

The chance that you will be up against AA at least 7 times in 30 trials is like 1 in 7900.

I hypothesize that God hates you at 2 to 1.
Someone can check my math on this.

AaronBrown
10-15-2005, 03:24 PM
4,200 to 1 is the chance of it happening 7 times out of 30 when he had pocket Kings.

mudbuddha
10-15-2005, 11:12 PM
and that is why you throw marginal hands away preflop