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View Full Version : Pocket aces. By autoshuffler.


radek2166
09-23-2005, 03:56 AM
I was playing in Blackhawk last night. I saw 14 pocket aces in 2 hours. What are the odds of that?

Do you think the shuffler was broke?

testaaja
09-23-2005, 06:10 AM
Lets say you played 50 hands/h so it makes 100 hands total. You will get aces 1/51+1/50. So it is only <40% that you even get aces on that 100 hand run. (1/51+1/50)^14 wich comes down to 2.33849641 10^(-20) wich is 4.27625203 10^19. Well my calculation shows only when you get aces 14 times in a row. If someone could tell me how to calculate those 86 other hands in too I would appreciate thanks.

OrangeKing
09-23-2005, 09:24 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Lets say you played 50 hands/h so it makes 100 hands total. You will get aces 1/51+1/50. So it is only <40% that you even get aces on that 100 hand run. (1/51+1/50)^14 wich comes down to 2.33849641 10^(-20) wich is 4.27625203 10^19. Well my calculation shows only when you get aces 14 times in a row. If someone could tell me how to calculate those 86 other hands in too I would appreciate thanks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Also, if the OP meant "saw" as in "any player had them", it makes the event a lot less unusual - he'd expect to see them about 5 times in 100 hands anyway. 14 is still a lot, but I don't think the autoshuffler is broken, unless it can pick the aces out and stack the deck. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

09-23-2005, 10:23 AM
And maybe 14 was the number of Aces he saw. So thats only 7 times! /images/graemlins/tongue.gif

testaaja
09-23-2005, 11:32 AM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Lets say you played 50 hands/h so it makes 100 hands total. You will get aces 1/51+1/50. So it is only <40% that you even get aces on that 100 hand run. (1/51+1/50)^14 wich comes down to 2.33849641 10^(-20) wich is 4.27625203 10^19. Well my calculation shows only when you get aces 14 times in a row. If someone could tell me how to calculate those 86 other hands in too I would appreciate thanks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Also, if the OP meant "saw" as in "any player had them", it makes the event a lot less unusual - he'd expect to see them about 5 times in 100 hands anyway. 14 is still a lot, but I don't think the autoshuffler is broken, unless it can pick the aces out and stack the deck. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[/ QUOTE ]
Heh I automatically suspected it was that he got them /images/graemlins/blush.gif well then.

radek2166
09-23-2005, 01:23 PM
It was 14 PP in a 10 handed game. one guy had them 5 times in an hourand a half.

JustToast
09-24-2005, 03:38 PM
[ QUOTE ]
It was 14 PP in a 10 handed game. one guy had them 5 times in an hourand a half.

[/ QUOTE ]

Check his sleeves.