View Full Version : (PP $22) An all too common situation w/ big pairs

09-17-2005, 11:48 PM
In a $10+1 this is an auto-call, but I've been wondering if it's +EV at a $22.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (8 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

MP2 (t730)
Hero (t900)
Button (t860)
SB (t1665)
BB (t770)
UTG (t1390)
UTG+1 (t1085)
MP1 (t600)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif.
UTG calls t30, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls t30, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t130</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls t115, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls t100, MP2 calls t100.

Flop: (t550) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets t1260 (All-In)</font>, MP2 calls t600 (All-In), Hero ?

09-17-2005, 11:49 PM
Call and hope SB calls too.

09-17-2005, 11:49 PM
Call and hope SB calls too.

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09-18-2005, 12:26 AM
really? I thought he was behind. What range do you put them on? The two of them would BOTH have to be on either a flush draw or TPGK/TPTK. I think one of them has 2pair+.

09-18-2005, 12:28 AM
Easiest. Push. Ever.

09-18-2005, 12:49 AM
Let's put 'em on some ranges. IMHO, both could have Axh, but it's unlikely that they play it like this, so we'll limit it to A6h+. Certainly 55 or 77 is possible. QQ and KK, IMHO, are not. KQ, QJ, QT, and AQ are all possible. We'll say that Q7 and Q5s are possible for MP but not UTG. Also possible are all suited heart connectors from 45 to TJ. I'm gonna ignore pure bluffs from UTG. I'm also gonna ignore SB.

You have a 45% chance of taking the whole pot. You're 65/35 for the side pot.

What if you narrow their range to TPGK, a-high flush draw, pair and flush draw, and two pair? You have 40% equity in the main pot and almost 60% equity in the side pot.

Call every day and twice on sunday.