View Full Version : not getting AA after 1500 (probability problem)

09-17-2005, 04:37 PM
A guy and I are in the middle of a dispute about some simple statistics. We'd like to figure out the % chance of you not getting Pocket Aces after 1500 hands. If somebody could post the work as well as a name of the rule, it'd be awesome.

Thanks for your help

09-17-2005, 04:59 PM
(220/221)^1500 = .111%

Essentially it boils down to the odds of getting a hand other than pocket Aces (which is 220/221), 1500 times in a row.

09-17-2005, 05:11 PM
sweet, I win $25 :P