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View Full Version : How big a favorite was I?

Jorge10
09-14-2005, 06:22 PM
This is me mostly venting, but still how ahead am I here?

Me A /images/graemlins/diamond.gif2 /images/graemlins/club.gif3 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif9 /images/graemlins/heart.gif

Villan1 J /images/graemlins/diamond.gif3 /images/graemlins/heart.gif4 /images/graemlins/spade.gif4 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

Villan2 A /images/graemlins/heart.gifA /images/graemlins/club.gif4 /images/graemlins/heart.gif7 /images/graemlins/club.gif

Flop: 9 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif7 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif10 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif

The guy with the jack high flush moved all in on the flop the guy with aces then moved all in, then it was my turn I had them both covered and called and lost.

Since this is the probability forum, how big of a favorite was I? Just wondering I am thinking of saving this hand and use it to cool off after smaller bad beats.

AaronBrown
09-14-2005, 06:38 PM
I assume this is Omaha high only.

You win on 648 of the 666 possible turn and river card combinations. Pair of Aces wins 13 and Jack high flush wins 5. So you'll lose one of these one time in 37.

09-14-2005, 06:45 PM
So the board came up 4-7?
Villain 1 needs:
4-7 (2) 4-9 (4) or 4-T (6) , TT (3) or 77 (1), to beat you.
In addition Villain 2 beats you on
A-9 (2) A-7 (2) A-T (3) 99 (1)

That's 24 possible beats. There are 37 outstanding hands so you'll lose 24 in 666 times. That's roughly 1 in 25.

Jorge10
09-14-2005, 07:01 PM
It was high low, both the turn and river were both 10's. I wasnt specific enough, sorry about that. Also based on the action preflop, im pretty sure the other ace was gone, so just wondering what are the odds if thats the case.

LetYouDown
09-14-2005, 08:29 PM
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1219698
pokenum -o8 ad 2c 3d 9h - jd 3h 4s 4d - ah ac 4h 7c -- 9d 7d td / as
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 630 enumerated boards containing Td 9d 7d
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
2c Ad 3d 9h 613 619 11 0 125 0 0 0.978
4s Jd 4d 3h 5 5 625 0 0 84 0 0.008
Ac 7c Ah 4h 6 6 624 0 6 108 0 0.014