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View Full Version : I just got dealt pocket aces 4 times in a row.

baronzeus
08-01-2005, 10:14 PM
That is all. compute THAT biatch.

08-01-2005, 10:17 PM
Live game or online? If it's live, you COULD attribute this statistical anomaly to a nonrandom shuffle. If it was online, you are simply lucky...

baronzeus
08-01-2005, 10:21 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Live game or online? If it's live, you COULD attribute this statistical anomaly to a nonrandom shuffle. If it was online, you are simply lucky...

[/ QUOTE ]

Online /images/graemlins/grin.gif But it's certainly not luck. ALL skill.

spaminator101
08-01-2005, 10:47 PM
221^4=10793861to 1 against

shday
08-02-2005, 12:09 AM
[ QUOTE ]
221^4=10793861to 1 against

[/ QUOTE ]
This is the probability of getting AA in 4 consecutive hands given that only 4 hands are dealt. If 5 hands are dealt the odds almost double. The longer the session, the greater the chance. (ok, it was still crazy luck)

EnderW27
08-02-2005, 12:21 AM
wouldn't it be to the third power? He'll always start with one AA. It's a question of how often he'll get dealt the next three in succession.

Luzion
08-02-2005, 12:39 AM
Was it all on one table, or were you multitabling and the AA was spread out among them?

Carl_William
08-02-2005, 03:33 AM
No big deal. Over the years, I have seen a few shots longer than that four peat (of yours). One thing I know for sure; if that sequence of pocket aces 4 times in a row occurred in a home or private game, than some of the other players would suspect cheating. Years ago….

In a draw poker “Jacks-or-better” game in Gardena, CA when the players dealt the cards; one guy temporary left the game for a drink at a local bar, and the first time he dealt after returning; he dealt himself four-of-kind and another player a pat hand. He repeated this feat two more times after coming back from the bar. All of us (the other players) at the table were convinced that he was cheating. The funny thing is that after observing this guy over the years; I really don’t believe he was capable of cheating. It was just a nearly impossible sequence of events that happened.

emp1346
08-02-2005, 08:25 AM
[ QUOTE ]
221^4=10793861to 1 against

[/ QUOTE ]

um... just a heads up... 221^4 is not 10,793,861... that's 221^3...

221^4 is actually 2,385,443,281... to 1....

jba
08-02-2005, 03:25 PM
[ QUOTE ]
wouldn't it be to the third power? He'll always start with one AA. It's a question of how often he'll get dealt the next three in succession.

[/ QUOTE ]

the OP question is: "what are the odds my next four starting hands are aces?"

you are answering: "I just got aces. what are my odds my next three hands are aces too?"

baronzeus
08-02-2005, 03:56 PM
Either way it was complete PWNAGE.

I guess this is the poker gods repaying me for running bad for 15K hands?

LetYouDown
08-02-2005, 04:02 PM
[ QUOTE ]
PWNAGE

[/ QUOTE ]
Oh no...it's creeped into the only forum where we could talk refuge from "pwned" and other ridiculous words with poor, internet etymology.

tworooks
08-02-2005, 11:16 PM
[ QUOTE ]
if that sequence of pocket aces 4 times in a row occurred in a home or private game, than some of the other players would suspect cheating.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, no. There will be at least 2-3 players from that table who will be coming to forums like this saying how online poker is rigged because of this, assuming he showed it down all 4, or even 3 of the 4. So no, not only in a home game.

spaminator101
08-02-2005, 11:57 PM
ok then for every 4 hands cut the odds against in half not to hard

LethalRose
08-03-2005, 03:19 PM
If the deck was shuffled the odds of getting dealt aces is the same. The cards have no memory.

I just got AA followed by AK.

Bco1/75
08-03-2005, 08:01 PM
(1/220)^4= 4.26x10^-10