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View Full Version : prediction for time of start of war


brad
02-25-2003, 11:27 PM
obviously 3/3/03. not only numerological nightmare (ok i just picked an n work it sounds good) (remember nancy reagan anybody?) but also a new moon.

i would have to say at least a 10-1 favorite

MMMMMM
02-26-2003, 12:30 AM
So can I pick 10 other days against 3/3/03 and we'll have an even money bet? Or if you insist on having the edge, how about I pick 9?

brad
02-26-2003, 12:33 AM
ok

MMMMMM
02-26-2003, 12:43 AM
OK I'll pick 3/01/03, 3/02/03 and the seven days immediately following 3/03/03 and we'll use Greenwich Mean Time. The bet will be for a buffet dinner if we ever should meet, and of course if it should fall on any other day it's no bet--how's that?

brad
02-26-2003, 01:03 AM
ok but i get a reasonable fudge factor since im not an astrologist or whatever. i dont know whether they use greenwich, EST, local iraqi time, or whatever.

this might mean i get like 40 or 48 hours or whatever i dont know. (+-12?) you can have the week before and week after if you want.

MMMMMM
02-26-2003, 01:11 AM
OK how's this then: we'll go by GMT and you get the 12 hours on either side of 3/03/03 as well, which should more than cover any time difference. Since you're now getting 48 hours instead of 24 I'll take the two days prior and the 12 days after.

brad
02-26-2003, 01:13 AM
okay

nicky g
02-26-2003, 11:49 AM
English newspaper said their money was on the night of 04/03/03, as the previous campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq have always begun on moonless nights. I can't see how the diplomatic wrangling will be done by then, though.

marbles
02-26-2003, 02:42 PM
"English newspaper said their money was on the night of 04/03/03"

--I assume this means March 4th, and not April 3rd? International dates always look screwy to me.

adios
02-26-2003, 02:52 PM
Don't think it will happen until after March 7. Blix has a date at the UN.

nicky g
02-27-2003, 06:27 AM
Yeah, March 4th. You crazy guys need to get with the programme, date-wise. But I agree with Tom, I can't see them acting before something's happened at the UN to indicate definitively whether they're going to get a 2nd resolution or not.