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JDErickson
04-24-2005, 02:52 PM
Hope the math gods can help me figure this out. SOmething strange has happened to me last 2 days.

Out of 9 KK hands I have played (frequency is correct), I have lost 7 to AA

I think odds of AA vs KK is 23:1

SO what would be odds of losing 7 of 9 to AA?

Thanx
Jim

six_4off
04-24-2005, 05:45 PM
Well I cant answer your question exactly (at least not the point that I would trust.) However the odds of this happening varies w/ the #of players at the table. The odds of 1 opponent making aa to your kk is 220:1. However if there are 5 opponents at the table table w/ you, the odds of them having aces is 44:1 (220:1/5) However, i do not know the equation for having that happen 7 times.

Im not sure if that helps, but thats as much as I know!

4 6

Nottom
04-24-2005, 08:02 PM
[ QUOTE ]
However the odds of this happening varies w/ the #of players at the table. The odds of 1 opponent making aa to your kk is 220:1. However if there are 5 opponents at the table table w/ you, the odds of them having aces is 44:1 (220:1/5)

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually the odds of a specific opponent having AA while you hold KK is about 203:1, remember 2 Ks are no longer available for him to have so his chances are increased.

At a full (10-handed) table, 23:1 is about right for the odds of running into AA while holding KK.

Nottom
04-24-2005, 08:09 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Hope the math gods can help me figure this out. SOmething strange has happened to me last 2 days.

Out of 9 KK hands I have played (frequency is correct), I have lost 7 to AA

I think odds of AA vs KK is 23:1

SO what would be odds of losing 7 of 9 to AA?

Thanx
Jim

[/ QUOTE ]

I could be wrong, but assume 10-handed table in all cases.

Out of a run of 9 KKs, you will run into AA 7 times about 1 time in 6,436,343. (I just ran 1/23^7*22/23^2 {odds of AA^7 * odds of no AA^2}, this could be an over-simplicication of how do do this)

Against a given AA you should win about 18%, so the odds of those 7 AAs sweeping you are around 3:1.

Odds of running into AA 7 times and having them sweep you is somewhere around 1 in 26 Million.

Obviously, this proves Party is rigged. /images/graemlins/wink.gif

HardCory
04-24-2005, 10:16 PM
I recently just posted this exact same question... next time do a search before you post. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

JDErickson
04-25-2005, 12:03 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Obviously, this proves Party is rigged.

[/ QUOTE ]

I knew it