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View Full Version : Probability of hitting Partypoker "Lucky Hands" promotion

r3vbr
11-21-2004, 09:32 PM
Here's a problem for you guys.

Ok, here is the link to the promotion:
http://www.partypoker.com/news/events/lucky-hands-current-04.html

Can someone calculate the odds of being on this hand, if playing 4 tables for a period of 5 hours?

And also, what is the expected value added per hand played?

r3vbr
11-21-2004, 11:32 PM
no replies?

illunious
11-22-2004, 12:00 AM
I'll take a shot..

55 hands/hr * 5 hours * 4 tables = 1100 hands

1100:98900, or 1:90

r3vbr
11-23-2004, 12:45 AM
where did 98900 come from?

TKid
11-23-2004, 01:08 AM
[ QUOTE ]
where did 98900 come from?

[/ QUOTE ]

Its the 100,000 hands less the 1100 you would be playing.

r3vbr
11-23-2004, 10:03 PM
This would be true if there was only one "lucky hand" in the night. But there are LOTS of lucky hands (each 100,000 that passes is a lucky hand)

pzhon
11-24-2004, 05:59 AM
Each hand you play during the promotion has about a 1/100,000 chance of being one of the lucky hands. The probability that you hit a lucky hand is roughly #hands/100,000.

The value to you per hand depends on the number of other players at the table. At a full table, the value if you hit is \$1400 for the table, or \$140 per person. At a short-handed table, the value would be greater per person. Getting \$140 1/100,000 of the time is worth 0.14 cents.