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View Full Version : odds to flop a set

Vintage
11-19-2004, 07:36 PM
any idea?

AngryCola
11-19-2004, 07:45 PM
Specifically a set? Or a set or better (boat, quads)?

The answer for a set or better is 7.5:1

EDIT- Welcome to the forums. I just want to point out that you shouldn't be starting new threads like a madman. Some of the questions you will undoubtedly be asking have been answered numerous times. Learn to use the search button, and it will serve you well. The regular posters will appreciate your search efforts more than 3 new threads a day (or whatever).

If you have run an extensive search of 2+2, and still can't find your answer, feel free to post a new thread. See you around the forums. /images/graemlins/spade.gif

IsaacW
11-19-2004, 07:50 PM
I'm sure this has been covered before, but here goes. The probability that you flop a set are equal to (1 - (probability that you don't flop a set)). I assume you are holding a pocket pair and looking for one card on the flop.

The probability that you don't flop a set are (48*47*46)/(50*49*48), so the probability you do flop a set are 1 - (48*47*46)/(50*49*48), or 11.76%. Converted to odds this is 7.51:1. There is a small chance out of that 11.76% that you will flop quads, as I have technically calculated the odds that you will flop at least one of the two remaining cards. Please consider that a bonus /images/graemlins/grin.gif

deacsoft
11-20-2004, 11:11 AM
With a pocket pair: 7.51 to 1 (against).
With any unpaired starting hand: 73.2 to 1 (against).