interesting bonus (interpoker)

[yoshi_yoshi]

Bonus Info

So up to 3 times this weekend, you get $50 for each time you start with A8 in the hole and end up with aces and eights. Not sure if showdown is necessary. Go as low as 0.5/1 limit and 0.25/0.5 NL.

Who wants to do the EV calculations? I'll do it when I get the time and if noone else has.

By my calculations it's a 50% chance in 2000 hands dealt. Assuming you always play it when dealt. No mention of having to win the hand. They do stipulate that a full house does not qualify.

Rough numbers.
1.2% chance to be dealt A8
2% chance to flop 2 pair.
2% chance to draw to two pair with 2 to come if flopped a pair.

[MyTurn2Raise]

from Todd at bonuswhore
[ QUOTE ]

EV = 1.53 cents per hand (assuming the best case scenario: full houses and quads count as long as you hit at least one ace and one eight, and you can win even if you fold or win before showdown).

P(at least one A and at least one 8 on the final board with an A and 8 starting hand) =
(8/52*4/51)*(1-((44/50*43/49*42/48*41/47*40/46)+(5*2)(3/50*46/49*45/48*44/47*43/46)))

P ~= 1/3273 hands

[/ QUOTE ]

[cigarzfan]

Anyone know if you have to have A-8 in the hole, in that order?