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  #1  
Old 04-25-2003, 05:08 PM
bakersh bakersh is offline
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Default Odds of a set vs. two pair

What has better odds: ending up with a set after starting off with a pair, or ending up with two pair after starting with two random cards? (running hot and cold, all-in situation preflop)

Real world example: you're all-in on the big blind and only the small blind calls and turns over pocket aces. You haven't looked at your cards yet. What do you want to see? I assume suited connectors would be the first choice (aside from the other two aces), but what's second (after connecting and suited cards)? A pocket pair (besides aces) or two unsuited, unconnecting cards?
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  #2  
Old 04-29-2003, 05:10 PM
bakersh bakersh is offline
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Default Any answer? n/t

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  #3  
Old 04-29-2003, 06:18 PM
LondonBroil LondonBroil is offline
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Default Re: Odds of a set vs. two pair

</font><blockquote><font class="small">In reply to:</font><hr />
Real world example: you're all-in on the big blind and only the small blind calls and turns over pocket aces. You haven't looked at your cards yet. What do you want to see?

[/ QUOTE ]

The answer to this is obvious. The ONLY 2 cards I would want to see are the other 2 aces. AA dominates every other hand. If I had a choice between:
A. A tie
B. A better than 50% of losing

I think I'd pick A. It's the only choice that doesn't have a -EV. Am I wrong?
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  #4  
Old 04-30-2003, 02:26 PM
bakersh bakersh is offline
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Default Re: Odds of a set vs. two pair

Further in my question addressed that "besides the other two aces, what would you want given the choice of a pair or two unsuited/unconnecting cards"
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  #5  
Old 04-30-2003, 06:55 PM
Robk Robk is offline
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Default Re: Odds of a set vs. two pair

You should go to www.twodimes.net, and play around with their simulator to answer your questions. The best hand to have against aces is indeed middle suited connectors, although I forget which one is the best. It's 78 or 65 or something like that.
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