#1
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winrate confidence question
im trying to figure out what my confidence level is on my winrate. i have 2.31bb/100, a 65k hand sample size, with a stdev of 15BB. so since we are talking in terms of 100s of hands, i have a sample size of 65000/100= 650 correct? i only have a vague knowledge of this, so if anyone can help me out, i would appreciate it.
thanks- alex |
#2
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Re: winrate confidence question
[ QUOTE ]
im trying to figure out what my confidence level is on my winrate. i have 2.31bb/100, a 65k hand sample size, with a stdev of 15BB. so since we are talking in terms of 100s of hands, i have a sample size of 65000/100= 650 correct? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, so the standard error of your win rate in BB/100 is 15/squareroot(650) = 0.59. A 95% confidence interval would be 2.31 +- 1.96*0.59 = 2.31+-1.16. |
#3
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Re: winrate confidence question
thank you sir
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