Another AK hand (AK is giving me tons of trouble)

[Karak567]

***** Hand History for Game 2084350175 *****
NL Hold'em $20 Buy-in + $2 Entry Fee Trny:12409288 Level:2 Blinds(15/30) - Saturday, May 21, 19:03:49 EDT 2005
Table Table 14252 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: ericowin ( $515 )
Seat 2: Hero ( $750 )
Seat 3: Jukin ( $905 )
Seat 4: devilinhose ( $605 )
Seat 5: FreddyJL ( $255 )
Seat 6: BoBdaMasta ( $660 )
Seat 7: DC80564 ( $1515 )
Seat 8: Mad_Maz ( $975 )
Seat 9: Phantom69 ( $1110 )
Seat 10: brandtwolf15 ( $710 )
Trny:12409288 Level:2
Blinds(15/30)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Ad Ks ]
devilinhose folds.
>You have options at Table 13861 Table!.
FreddyJL folds.
BoBdaMasta folds.
DC80564 folds.
Mad_Maz folds.
Phantom69 calls [30].
brandtwolf15 folds.
ericowin folds.
>You have options at Table 13861 Table!.
>You have options at Table 13861 Table!.
Hero raises [105].
>You have options at Table 13861 Table!.
Jukin is all-In [875]
>You have options at Table 13861 Table!.
>You have options at Table 14282 Table!.
>You have options at $1000 Daily Guaranteed(340603) Table #14 Table!.
Phantom69 folds.

[valenzuela]

hero calls.

[adanthar]

[ QUOTE ]
***** Hand History for Game 2084350175 *****
NL Hold'em $20 Buy-in + $2

[/ QUOTE ]

Hero calls quickly.

[johnnybeef]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
***** Hand History for Game 2084350175 *****
NL Hold'em $20 Buy-in + $2

[/ QUOTE ]

Hero calls quickly.

[/ QUOTE ]

hero busts k9 and laughs his ass off

[microbet]

Unless villian has shown some craziness, hero folds.

[microbet]

Call if it's a $215 or a live $2000 buyin MTT.

[valenzuela]

ay caramba..lets suppose hero wins 48% of the time, I suppose we agree that is a fair number. Ure putting 645 chips into a 930 pot. End of discussion

[valenzuela]

bah..I finsihed my posrt before u posted for the second time, dont ever do that again [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

[microbet]

Mios Dio!

If you win you have .18 of the equity. If you fold you have .0835.

.0835 = X * .18
X = .46

If you win more than 46% of the time it is +$EV.

If he is tight it is a bad bad call. If he is lose it is a good good call. I think on the whole it is a bad call. That is strictly by $EV, and if it is an $EV neutral decision it is a fold, IMO.

But, like I said before, if he has shown any craziness, it is a call.

[microbet]

I'm not sure what you don't want me to do, but it sounds like you are threatening me, so I'm signing us up to invade Chile next.