Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-04-2004, 01:37 AM
anyjack anyjack is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: CA
Posts: 6
Default Outs question (not sure if it belongs in probability)

After the Flop, a nut inside straight draw and nothing else is 4 outs and the odds of hitting it by river is ~5.1 to 1 and on the turn to river is ~10.5 to 1. So if I call on the flop, when there is 6 small bets assuming everything equal, is this right? Or is there some adjustment that I need to make? Should I only call if I am getting around 8 small bets on average situations? I am finding out that usually if I don't hit it on the turn the odds do not justify the next call when everything goes up in price. Does anyone have a general adjustment on the probabilities/odds for making calling decisions on the flop. Also that your call is probably only one small bet.

A newbie poster who just bought the book Small Stakes Hold'em.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-04-2004, 06:23 AM
gaming_mouse gaming_mouse is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: my hero is sfer
Posts: 2,480
Default Re: Outs question (not sure if it belongs in probability)

You are not taking into account the future bets you will have to call when going to the river.

See p. 33, "Reverse Implied Odds"

However, you could say to yourself: "I am going to call this bet and see just the turn card. If I don't hit and someone bets, I will fold." You would not be getting proper pot odds with this strategy, but you might be getting proper implied odds.

gm
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:45 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.