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estimating odds based on probable holdings.
Okay, bear with me.
Say you hold A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] the board reads= T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] You have two opponents, one of whom flashes you the K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and the other flashes you the 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Given perfect knowledge of the hand you can make the best possible play based on pot size and opponent tendancy. Had they not flashed their cards, you must consider that they may have nothing, two pair, trips, pair plus flush draw, pair plus backdoor flush/straight draw, and so forth. You get some clue by the way the hand has been played. At what point, if your read is good enough, can you adjust you probalilities based on what the opponent holds? What if you are only 98% sure? 90% sure? 75%? Admittedly, there will not be a ton of pots where it makes enough of a difference to have a significant impact on the proper play, but from a technical standpoint the principal is important. Comments? |
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