Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-02-2004, 11:37 PM
ilya ilya is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Party Poker
Posts: 460
Default Being \"pot-committed\"

I guess I don't really understand the logic behind this concept. Before the flop, I take it to mean that if someone puts you all-in, you have the odds to call with any two. On the flop and beyond, however, it seems like you almost never have the odds to call with any two. Yet people talk about being pot-committed on the flop and beyond all the time. Would someone be kind enough to point me to a good explanation?
I'm talking about no limit here if that's not obvious.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-03-2004, 03:03 AM
Thythe Thythe is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 432
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

Basic idea is that if say a pot has $20 in it and the flop comes not very helpful to you. If you only have $1 left than you are pretty much pot committed no matter what you have (what couldn't you call for 20-1 odds?). That is my understanding of it anyway...
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-03-2004, 10:52 AM
Mike Haven Mike Haven is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Northern Ireland
Posts: 2,288
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

interesting question

i'm not sure that there's a specific mathematically orientated definition - it's more a situation in a hand where you are not keen to put your last chips in but if someone else bets you "have" to call or raise as you have put so much money in the middle up to that point that it would be "silly" to fold and leave yourself with too few chips to continue to play the game well and with much chance of winning - it has become an all or nothing occasion where if you win, perhaps against the odds, you will be in good shape to continue the game, but if you fold there's little point in continuing - obviously, i am thinking in tournament terms - no doubt the phrase can be used in ring games, but then it would be thought of as being only a relatively nasty pot to lose in the circumstances described
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-03-2004, 12:01 PM
pzhon pzhon is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

People mean different things when they say pot-committed. The following is consistent and meaningful, but it does not agree with how some others use the term.

Pot-committed means that if your opponent bets or raises all-in, you have the odds to call.

This depends on your cards and stack size. If you have AA preflop, you are pot-committed no matter what the stack-sizes are. If you have 32o in the big blind, you are only pot-committed if your stack isn't much larger than the big blind.

Just because you are pot-committed on one street does not mean you will be pot-committed on the next street.

If your opponent's stack is small, you may be pot-committed with a weak hand even when your stack is large.

Pot-committed does not mean you would have the odds to call if you could see your opponent's cards. You can be pot-committed on the river. Your hand may be good enough and the stacks small enough relative to the pot that there is not be enough room for your opponent to convince you that you are beaten.

Don't try to bluff someone who would be pot-committed with any two cards, or with any reasonable cards. It is usually a good time to value-bet. It is usually bad to give your opponent the ability to value-bet when you will be pot-committed.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-03-2004, 06:10 PM
jimymat jimymat is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 90
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

An example of a NL hand I played where I had to call the last bet because I was pot committed. Harrahs NL $300 max buy in. Im in 4th position with AK off and bet $50, 2 callers and a guy in late position raises to $100. I reraise to isolate the raiser to I think $150 or so. This forces the two callers to call $100 cold so they fold, then the late position guy goes all in (he had me covered). Now I know Im in trouble. $557 in the pot now and I am pretty sure Im either beat pretty bad, a slight underdog (47-53, AK off vs any big pair under AA or KK), or it will be a split pot. I have $150 left in front of me and with $557 in the pot Im getting a little better than 3.5 to 1 on my money. Now I am pot committed, meaning if I think I will win this hand 1 time out of every 4.5 it will give me a positive expectation. Do not confuse how much money I had already put in the pot as being pot committed though. It should have no bearing on your decision to call. I had $150 in the pot before the late position guy raised all in. For me and the way I play, and all the good players play, that $150 no longer is yours. It belongs to the pot. The only thing I was concerned about was the odds the pot was laying me to call the last bet. I called the guy and he had KK which worked out alright. He was a 70% favorite to win giving me 30%, a little over 3-1, so with the pot laying me better than 3.5-1 it was a good call as far as being pot committed. I ended up losing the hand but I made the correct call so it does not matter in the long run.
Also note this was a round game and not a tournament. If it was a tournament I would have played the hand a lot different. Hopefully this gives you an idea of being "pot committed". It all basically comes down to what odds the pot is laying you, the style of player your against, and if you have $5 in your pocket for gas money home. Good luck.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-03-2004, 08:06 PM
Mike Haven Mike Haven is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Northern Ireland
Posts: 2,288
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

good story

so what you are saying is if the betting had been $100 all in, $100 raise all in, $50 reraise all in, = $550 pot, you would have been pot committed to call if you had AKo and $150, even though you had no money committed in the pot up to that point?

personally, (although you may choose to think that would be a good bet!), i don't think it could be said you are pot committed, and i think it's because you haven't put anything into the pot yet

but maybe i'm wrong
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-03-2004, 09:04 PM
jimymat jimymat is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 90
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

Your right about it not being a good call if you have nothing in the pot yet. Obviously a lot has to do with how loose or tight the other players are. If I would have had nothing in the pot and three all-in raises ahead of me it would be an easy fold. Would you agree Mike that money put in the pot is no longer your money, but the pots money? Thats how I play but now you have me in deep thought about the way I determine if Im pot committed. It should not matter if I have $150 in the pot or $0, I should base my decision off of the odds Im getting, the players style along with there starting hand standards for preflop raises. Id say we are on the same thinking wave as far as being able to let a hand go if you think your beat. I am capable of making huge lay downs with no regret but I admit Im contradicting myself by being able to fold with three raises before me preflop, but on the other hand feel committed if I have money in the pot. What do you think Mike, what factors are to be considered in your opinion to determine if you are pot committed or not. What would be your definition of being pot committed? Does it maybe only obtain to tournament play since the round game never ends?
In my example I gave at what point would you feel pot committed and list all decision making factors youd use. (ex. players styles, tells, etc.)
Thanks
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-03-2004, 09:34 PM
Mike Haven Mike Haven is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Northern Ireland
Posts: 2,288
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

earlier, i was only trying to define the term, and by my way of definition

the play of a hand is a different kettle of fish, and if your gut felt you were in trouble in your hand, perhaps a "big" laydown might have been in order

personally, i never feel i am pot committed in a ring game because of the reason that you give - that it "never ends"

if i think i am beaten, then i will fold even if it leaves me with less than the $5 taxi fare! (but, i do admit, having read SSH, i'm starting to think i fold too much, even though i've "never" yet seen opponents' cards that make me sorry i folded - but, again, that's another story)
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-04-2004, 12:33 AM
jimymat jimymat is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 90
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

I did not notice your post from this morning when I replied back. I think you have pretty much hit the nail on the head with your first post. I think a lot of it goes back to being able to read your opponents too. Good post. Good luck.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-04-2004, 04:48 AM
pzhon pzhon is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 66
Default Re: Being \"pot-committed\"

[ QUOTE ]
Your right about it not being a good call if you have nothing in the pot yet. Obviously a lot has to do with how loose or tight the other players are. If I would have had nothing in the pot and three all-in raises ahead of me it would be an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]
Sorry, I think you are confused.

The main difference between the two situations is that in the actual situation, you were up against one hand. In the hypothetical modification, three people are all-in. You expect AK to win more against 1 hand than against 3 hands, so paying $150 for your share of a $700 4-way pot may be a bad deal even though paying $150 for your share of a $700 2-way pot may be a bargain.

Another difference is that the money in the modified example did not add up to $150. If there was a $100 push, a reraise all-in to $200, a reraise all-in to $250, and you have no money in the pot, then it is $250 to you, not $150.

Another difference is that the people in the modified example showed more strength than in the actual example.

As a side note, AKo is usually a favorite in a multi-way pot. If someone has a pocket pair, AK can't win without improving (unless the pair gets counterfeited), but AK improves more than half of the time (49% of the time an ace or king comes, and a few percent of the time no ace or king comes, but AKo makes a straight or flush). When AK hits, it generally wins whether against 1 pocket pair or many, and that means AK usually wins a disproportionate share of a multiway pot. People like to talk about how well some hands like JTs do in a multi-way pot. That should be because they do poorly heads-up, not because they are better in a multi-way pot than AK, even off-suit. Against 1-9 random hands, AKo does better than JTs.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:20 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.