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Re: And I put him on 24offsuit too!
[ QUOTE ]
Bayes' theorem dude: there's one queen left in the deck which means the likelihood of him having one is extremely small. You need to start thinking in terms of putting players on hand ranges and probabilities of hands and less "oh my god, he might have a queen" Play some six-max...it will help you grow a pair on the later streets [/ QUOTE ] You see, I interpret that differently. I think that everytime he bets and raises it is more likely that he has the other queen or a hand that beats mine: his flop 3 bet, likely to have a queen, but since he's in the SB, prolly a small kicker. he calls cap, tells me nothing he leads turn, tells me he could have a queen with a better kicker or a boat now so I just call if I raise the turn and he 3-bets, I assume he's got me beat and i'm drawing thin. that's the way I look at the theorem anyway. |
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