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#1
09-23-2004, 12:37 AM
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heads up trouble lately
what is an expected amount of times you can lose in a row heads up? i've lost the last 4 or 5 times i've got down to heads up in SnG's. the last one was unfortunate (my KK lost to 99) but nonetheless i still haven't been feeling confident when down to 2 of us.
i posted this thread in the shorthanded & heads up forum but didn't get many replies. http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...part=1#1041501 any ideas would help me greatly. it's such a huge difference in payout between 1st and 2nd. 
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#2
09-23-2004, 12:42 AM
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Re: heads up trouble lately
Even if you played optimally HU and started with even stacks every time your advantage is probably only 55-45. So to lose 5 times in a row is .45^5 = .02. So for every set of 5 HU matches you have a 2% chance of losing them all. So about every 50 matches you should have a streak like this.
In other words: nothing to worry about (I've lost 6 coinflips in a row - rougly the same probability of 5 lost HU matches in a row). -SmileyEH
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