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#1
07-12-2005, 03:35 PM
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XY, XY, XY, ZZ, flop comes XYZ - odds?
Hey All,
Ran into this recently in a MTT, table was full (10 heads) and I got AK, raised, and 3 callers came along. Flop was AK5, everyone went allin, and the 4 hands were AK, AK, AK, 55. So, what are the chances that the flop will come XYZ if 3 of the 10 people hold XY and a fourth holds ZZ? Thanks in advance. 
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#2
07-12-2005, 04:52 PM
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Re: XY, XY, XY, ZZ, flop comes XYZ - odds?
There are only 1 X&Y left and 2 Z's so there are only 2 flops out of the 44c3 possible flops left.... so
= 2/13244 = 1 in 6622 or .000151012 Presto! there's your answer! <sorry - couldn't resist>
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#4
07-18-2005, 09:10 PM
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Re: XY, XY, XY, ZZ, flop comes XYZ - odds?
[ QUOTE ]
just curious; did the turn and/or river help? [/ QUOTE ] It would be crazy if one of the AKs hit a flush during that. If no AKs, then turn and river help no one. (Can't tell if you were asking a serious question or not)
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#5
08-01-2005, 07:11 PM
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Re: XY, XY, XY, ZZ, flop comes XYZ - odds?
1 xy left two z left
1/50*1/49*1/24=1/58800
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#7
08-01-2005, 10:42 PM
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Re: XY, XY, XY, ZZ, flop comes XYZ - odds?
sry y is order important
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#8
08-02-2005, 12:03 AM
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Re: XY, XY, XY, ZZ, flop comes XYZ - odds?
[ QUOTE ]
sry y is order important [/ QUOTE ] If we don't multiply by 6, then we are computing the probability of XYZ in exactly that order. We don't care about the order, so we multiply by 6 to allow any possible order.
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#9
08-02-2005, 12:54 PM
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Re: XY, XY, XY, ZZ, flop comes XYZ - odds?
ok thank you
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