Are the SNGs really soft this week?

[ebaudry]

"I usually play MTTs, but I have been playing SNGs the last couple of weeks and have done well. Am I just learning how to beat the SNGs or are they a lot softer with the holidays? "

They could be softer, but you would never know it due to sample size. I bet they probably are softer, but the sample size you need to prove it is too large to know.

Example: my first 150 games this month my ROI was 65% (up from the usual 13%!). The next 300 games (i.e the last 2 weeks) my ROI has been 1%.

I personally walk around with the assumption that you need to see 2000 games before you can talk about any sort of trend. Further example: in the middle of my breakeven 300, i hit a grandslam (1st in all 4 of my concurrent tables) and my ROI went through the roof, although only temporarily.

GL.