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#1
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It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
The beats that are flying around at this year's World Series are fairly unbelievable. If I paid $2,000 or $5,000 or God forbid the full $10,000 to get in and met this fate (David Grindstaff):
Raise w/ JJ, short stack re-raises w/ K6s, flop comes K 6 3. Later you're dealt QQ, push in and go down to K6o. I mean seriously, K6o? People are paying ridiculous amounts of chips to call terrible hands at this tournament. An unknown player raises w/ A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], is re-raised by K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], and then calls an all-in on the turn with the board reading 4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. What the hell is THAT? The pros must be licking their chops. Well, the ones that are left, anyway. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] |
#2
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
It seems that most posters here just don't understand that K6o isn't much of an underdog to QQ. The QQ player should expect to lose nearly one out of every three times. But, posters here seem to think the QQ is entitled to win 99% of the time.
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#3
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
Agreed. They look at K6 and think it's trash, but in reality, hot and cold vs. QQ, K6 is virtually identical to AJ.
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#4
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
While I understand your point- doesn't the fact that AJ can make a straight change the odds a bit?
As I mentioned in an earlier thread, it seems hard to be critical of play without seeing the play itself. |
#5
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Qd Qh 1221087 71.31 485745 28.37 5472 0.32 0.715 Js Ac 485745 28.37 1221087 71.31 5472 0.32 0.285 Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Qd Qh 1224567 71.52 483043 28.21 4694 0.27 0.717 6s Kc 483043 28.21 1224567 71.52 4694 0.27 0.283 0.002 difference in EV between K6o and AJo vs QQ |
#6
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
Ran 'em on twodimes. QQ wins against AJo 71.32%, against K6 71.52%
The 2 str8 cards for AJ gets offset by the fact that 2 of the Q's needed for those str8's are already gone. |
#7
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
The point here really is that reraising after a raise w/ K6o is incredibly dumb. I believe this player's thought process at the time was not "hmm, K6o is only a 3:1 dog to queens." I don't have the numbers but i'm pretty sure that AK vs. K6, a more likely type of hand is much more of a favorite. This guy obviously has no clue. He pushed in when he knew he was behind and not terribly short stacked. There is no strategy, just tuna.
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#8
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
[ QUOTE ]
It seems that most posters here just don't understand that K6o isn't much of an underdog to QQ. [/ QUOTE ] These are the same people who will 3 bet you pre-flop with 24o then look at their stack later and wonder "where did it go! [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#9
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
I'm not astonished that QQ lost to K6. I'm astonished that someone would voluntarily put money into the pot at the World Series with it against a raise, regardless of the outcome.
In any event, David is going to have nightmares about K6 for a while... |
#10
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Re: It\'s good for poker, I suppose, but seriously...
yes, but that is assuming he knew he was up against QQ. He might as easily have been up against KK or AA. Dumb call.
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