What's the probability of not winning a single hand in 72?

baronzeus · #1 07-30-2005, 04:03 PM

I don't know how often I'm this cold but I noticed this especially strongly since i was only playing 1 table.

Any ideas?

baronzeus · #2 07-30-2005, 04:07 PM

Edit: At first I thought 0.9^72 but that's obviously not true since I'm playing less hands and (hopefully) I'm plyaying better. Right?

gaming_mouse · #3 07-30-2005, 05:03 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Edit: At first I thought 0.9^72 but that's obviously not true since I'm playing less hands and (hopefully) I'm plyaying better. Right?

[/ QUOTE ]

assuming you enough enough hands at this level, i'd use your historical winrate -- that is, 1 - (hands won/total hands) -- instead of .9.

It's not clear that a winning player wins more than 10% of the hands he plays, though this may be true in most cases. for example, an extremely tight player may win less than 10% of the hands he plays in, but still win money overall because he has a high won $ at showdown stat.

gm