#1
|
|||
|
|||
Does this seem counterintuitive to anyone else?
Using twodimes,
Ah3h vs. Qh9h on a 5h4hQd board, Ah3h wins 49.6% of the time pokenum -h ah 3h - qh 9h -- 5h 4h qd Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Qd 5h 4h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ah 3h 491 49.60 499 50.40 0 0.00 0.496 Qh 9h 499 50.40 491 49.60 0 0.00 0.504 However, when I add KcKs into the mix, Ah3h wins 50.2% of the time. pokenum -h ah 3h - qh 9h - kc ks -- 5h 4h qd Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing Qd 5h 4h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV Ah 3h 453 50.17 450 49.83 0 0.00 0.502 Qh 9h 127 14.06 776 85.94 0 0.00 0.141 Ks Kc 323 35.77 580 64.23 0 0.00 0.358 Is it just me, or does the fact that Ah3h's %win actually increases a little seem counterintuitive? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Does this seem counterintuitive to anyone else?
"Ah3h's %win actually increases a little seem counterintuitive?"
You made the deck richer in hearts, by taking out 2 non-hearts. Make 1 of the K's the of hearts and see what happens. |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Does this seem counterintuitive to anyone else?
No, it makes sense to me. In the first case A3h is behind to top-pair of Q's, and has 3 Ace outs and 7 heart outs (10/45 cards improve the hand). In the second case it is behind no differently than in Hand 1 (it doesn't matter if it is behind to KK or Q9) and has the same number of outs, but there are two less "bad" cards in the deck (10/43 to improve now as opposed to 10/45 in Hand 1).
Make one of the K's a heart and see what happens. -- Homer |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Does this seem counterintuitive to anyone else?
You made the deck richer in hearts, by taking out 2 non-hearts.
Duh. [img]/forums/images/icons/crazy.gif[/img] Thanks. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Don\'t forget the 3 2\'s
gutshots are outs, too
|
|
|