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Eureka! Probability of flopping a straight.
I believe I have succeeded in writting some reasonably concise code for calculating the probabilty of flopping a straight depending on the separation of the hole cards. Turn and river calculation will follow later. Can anyone post known probabilities to use as a benchmark? I have been wrong before and I don't trust myself. Afterall, I've got myself in more trouble than other people have got me into. I will explain the code to anyone interested.
[ QUOTE ] // T -> A converted to 10 -> 14 except when A is low, then it's one. // the LowCard and HiCard have been resolved. Separation = HiCard - LowCard; SolutionsAdjustForBounds = 0; FlopStraightProbabilityRatio = 0; if((Separation <= 4) && (Separation > 0)) { // If a straight is possible . . . if(LowCard < 5) SolutionsAdjustForBounds = LowCard; . . . else if(HiCard > 10) SolutionsAdjustForBounds = 15 - HiCard; . . . else SolutionsAdjustForBounds = 5 - Separation; . . . MaxSolutions = 5 - Separation; . . . Solutions = (MaxSolutions - SolutionsAdjustForBounds) > 0? MaxSolutions - . . . . . .(MaxSolutions - SolutionsAdjustForBounds): MaxSolutions; . . . Permeations = Solutions * 384; . . . FlopStraightProbabilityRatio = Permeations / 19600 (50 C 3); } [/ QUOTE ] |
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