Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-20-2003, 07:50 AM
jaydoggie jaydoggie is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: davenport, ia
Posts: 237
Default straight vs. flush draw

im holding A8c on the button in no limit tournament.

flop
7h 9h 6s

someone bets minimum and it calls around.

turn
7h 9h 6s (10d)

checks around to me, i move all in.

one person calls with Q5h.

i ran these cards through 2dimes.net and its saying the Q5 is a 50% favorite. can someone explain to me how the Q5 is the favored hand in this situation or give me the actual odds of him rivering me like he does every time >:\


Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-20-2003, 07:59 AM
jaydoggie jaydoggie is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: davenport, ia
Posts: 237
Default Re: straight vs. flush draw


i figured out why i was getting funky results with twodimes.net, i was putting 10 instead of T. guess my odds were about 3/4 inevidably i got rivered by the same guy i always get rivered by.

we play weekly tournaments. a few weeks ago i caught AA, 3 handed. the flop comes 99T. hes got 87os, he bets double the minimum, i raise all in. he takes a moment to think (knowing i get rivered by him every week i show him my aces knowing he cant possibly have a 9 becuase he never makes a hand til the river) despite seeing my aces and knowing hes got 8 outs and i have another 4 cards (99AA) that could fill me up, he decides to throw in the rest of his chips, and of course a brick on the turn. guess what miracle comes on the river...

Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-20-2003, 09:11 AM
Cyrus Cyrus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Tundra
Posts: 1,720
Default Sim results

PokerWiz sims; 10mln rounds each time; percentages don't add up to exactly 100% due to ties.

FIRST SIM

PLAYER 1 : Ac8c
PLAYER 2 : Qh5h
BOARD : 7h 9h 6s Td

PLAYER 1 : Wins 74.99%
PLAYER 2 : Wins 20.46%
PLAYER 2 is 3.40 odds against to Win at the River.

SECOND SIM

PLAYER 1 : AcAs
PLAYER 2 : 8h7d
BOARD : 9h 9d Tc 2s

PLAYER 1 : Wins 81.82%
PLAYER 2 : Wins 18.18%
PLAYER 2 is 4.50 odds against to Win at the River.

Hope you're feeling better.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:51 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.