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  #1  
Old 11-10-2005, 06:15 PM
ace_in_the_hole ace_in_the_hole is offline
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Location: 23k hands so far in March
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Default (55) Bubble AQ

Can I fold this?

NL Texas Hold'em $50 Buy-in + $5 Level:5 Blinds(75/150) -
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: CanonExpress ( $1160 )
Seat 4: patroklo ( $2185 )
Seat 6: DPFLillePer ( $5010 )
Seat 10: HERO ( $1645 )
Trny:17299390 Level:5
Blinds(75/150)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ Ac Qd ]
patroklo folds.
DPFLillePer is all-In [5010]
HERO ??
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  #2  
Old 11-10-2005, 06:17 PM
pineapple888 pineapple888 is offline
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Posts: 65
Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

Yes, and you should fold it. Only with high pairs can you consider calling. I'm sure somebody else will post the math.
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  #3  
Old 11-10-2005, 06:27 PM
bigt439 bigt439 is offline
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Posts: 134
Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

Yes. Gotta do an assignment now, but yes.
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  #4  
Old 11-10-2005, 08:28 PM
ace_in_the_hole ace_in_the_hole is offline
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Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

Thats what i thought and did, but I ahve no SNG powertools and I am insecure. Thansk for the replies.
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  #5  
Old 11-10-2005, 09:32 PM
bigt439 bigt439 is offline
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Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

[ QUOTE ]
but I ahve no SNG powertools.

[/ QUOTE ]

For someoene who has played over 3500 sngs this is nothing short of dumb.

Well I know some sick players who don't, but they know situations like this like the back of their hand.
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  #6  
Old 11-10-2005, 10:08 PM
tewall tewall is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: midwest
Posts: 1,206
Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

Your equity is .21 if you fold, .31 if you call and win, and 0 if you call and lose. Your expected gain is (chance of winning) * (.31). For this to be greater than .21, your chance of winning would have to be better than 67%, but even against two random cards AQo only has a 64% chance of winning. So even if you knew your opponent would go all-in with anything here, you should still fold.

That's a bit counter-intuitive.
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  #7  
Old 11-10-2005, 10:56 PM
davehwm davehwm is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 16
Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

[ QUOTE ]
Thats what i thought and did, but I ahve no SNG powertools and I am insecure. Thansk for the replies.

[/ QUOTE ]

Get the powertools. It's more than just a tool to tell you if you're right or wrong. It will give you a tremendous amount of confidence when you confirm it was the right move, and hopefully plug some leaks if you're not pushing enough or pushing too much.

I was convinced to finally buy it earlier this week and I couldn't be happier.
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  #8  
Old 11-11-2005, 12:21 AM
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Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

Easy fold
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  #9  
Old 11-11-2005, 01:18 AM
ace_in_the_hole ace_in_the_hole is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: 23k hands so far in March
Posts: 235
Default Re: (55) Bubble AQ

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but I ahve no SNG powertools.

[/ QUOTE ]

For someoene who has played over 3500 sngs this is nothing short of dumb.

Well I know some sick players who don't, but they know situations like this like the back of their hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good call. I wish it was $50 instead of $79, don;t know why but I would ahve bought it much sooner. I know I am weird.
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