Not too happy with week 3

[natedogg]

I don't think there's a lot of value out there this week.

I could barely think of a $100 pick in Easy E's contest.

There's only one total I like and it's not very strong:

Houston/KC over 47

Houston has allowed 28 and 27 while scoring 20 and 16.

Their own scoring might be a concern, and it has been plagued by turnovers which I suspect should settle down.

KC has allowed 34 and 28. Say no more. The over has value here.

Also, by the way Houston was my $400 pick. I think KC is in big trouble in a big way and the lines are still reflecting their 13-3 season. No way on god's green earth should KC, SANS PRIEST especially, be giving up 7.5 to anyone. Everyone has figured out that you only have to stop Gonzales.

I'm also going to place a bet on Miami. This is their week, as I mentioned in a thread about that game:
1. Rookie QB for Pit
2. Second consecutive road game for PIT
3. Second week for AJ Feeley to get into a rythm, he'll look better than last week.
4. Pit has a very problematic secondary and Miami has good receiving weapons in Chambers and McMichael.
5. Did I mention rookie QB starting against a great defense?

Take Miami, they get their first win on sunday.

Good luck to everyone this week.

natedogg