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  #1  
Old 09-23-2002, 02:18 AM
bad beetz bad beetz is offline
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Default What effect does running bad have on poor players

Good players do not change their game depending on whether they are winning of losing. Bad players do, I assume.

What is a poor player more/less likely to do when he/she is running bad?
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  #2  
Old 09-23-2002, 11:10 AM
Ryan_21 Ryan_21 is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

I don't think poor players play is affected that much, because if we are talking about poor players I assume we mean recreational players? Most recreational players expect to lose anyway. I think its the stupidest thing when I here people are going to the cardroom/casino and they say "I'm bringing $100 thats all I can afford to lose." Yeah its good that they know their limits, but most of them expect to lose, so when they are losing they are probably playing normal to them.

Ryan_21
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  #3  
Old 09-23-2002, 12:26 PM
Al Schoonmaker Al Schoonmaker is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

It is not necessarily stupid to say or think, "I'm going to lose just $100." You have to relate that thought (or any other)to the person's motives. Actions or thoughts which seem stupid from your or my perspective may be quite sensible from theirs.

You and I play to win. They don't. They essentially spend money for pleasure. On the rare occasions that they win, it's a bonus. That is no more stupid than spending money to eat in a fine restaurant or go skiing, and it is much more intelligent than spending it on cocaine or alcohol.

Let me go further. From the traditional economist's profit-maximization perspective, playing poker is stupid except for a tiny number who can make real money at it. I know lots of excellent players, but hardly any of them make significant money at poker. People proudly tell me they make $12 or $30 or $50 per hour, but that's peanuts for people with their talent. I know doctors and lawyers whose time is worth hundreds per hour who are proud to win a tiny fraction of their billing rate.

It's not the money that counts, it's WINNING it that matters. It's the same reason that golfers want to cut their handicaps, and runners want to run faster. In other words, we have to look at people's motives and understand the satisfactions they get from various actions and results.

Is it stupid for a $300 per hour attorney to be pleased with winning $30 per hour? From an opportunity cost basis it is. Every hour he plays "costs" him $270 in lost earnings. The poor player who could earn $10 per hour, but loses $10 per hour is only costing himself $20 per hour.

Please forgive the digression. Let's get back to the original question. The largest change in poor player's actions when they get stuck is to play more foolishly, especially if they go past Mike Caro's "Threshold of pain." They start to hurt, and they feel they won't hurt any more if they lose "just" another buy-in. They play even more poorly, trying to get even, or not giving a damn. They become looser, and many of them become more aggressive. A few idiots even move to bigger games and take losses they can't handle.

A few people get so mad at losing that they go to the crap tables. "Since I'll never get even here, I'll go where I've got a shot." Low limit poker players sometimes blow a thousand or more at the crap table, just because they can't handle their losses.

So what are the lessons? First, try to understand WHY people play the way they do. Second and much more important, understand why YOU play the way you do? Third, when you feel that your emotions are taking over, GO HOME.

Al
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  #4  
Old 09-23-2002, 02:44 PM
bad beetz bad beetz is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

Thank you for the insight.

BTW, my emotions never change my game. period. (unless it's subconscious, but I don't see how that's possible considering every action I take in poker is a conscious decision) I think you may be right that a real bad run for a poor player may loosen him/her up, which is counter intuitive to me, because if running bad were to affect my play, I imagine it would make me tighten up.

My real question should have probably been, how do I take advantage of a poor player I know is running very bad?

(wow! that made me sound like an unscrupulous a*shole didn't it. [img]/forums/images/icons/crazy.gif[/img] )
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  #5  
Old 09-23-2002, 03:54 PM
Ryan_21 Ryan_21 is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

I totally agree 100% with your assesment of peoples motives. I know its not stupid to them, what I really ment to say was that it sounds stupid to ME. Sorry about the confusion.

Ryan_21
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  #6  
Old 09-23-2002, 04:55 PM
Jimbo Jimbo is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

bad beetz,

you said "......considering every action I take in poker is a conscious decision)" How can you be so sure? Why do you think they call it subconscious? Have you never made a crying call? If so musn't the reason you called been subconscious otherwise it would be an easy call. One more example, have you ever limped in an early posotion with a hand your normally muck? Why? Just a few thoughts to toss your way. I believe we all make many more subconscious observations that our conscious mind uses to make those poker decisions.


Jimbo
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  #7  
Old 09-23-2002, 06:12 PM
bad beetz bad beetz is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

I guess feelings can subconsciously sway a marginal call. For example, the fact that you are down and REALLY want to win the hand, your subconscious may tell you that your opponent is bluffing, or you may pick up a tell and give it more value then it's worth because your running bad and want to stay in the hand. That is a good example of how subconscious thoughts could affect conscious decisions.

However, my starting hands are not affected, I know when and when not to open with a hand (although whether I'm right or wrong in certain situations is certainly up in the air) so to "talk myself into" calling a marginal hand preflop would certainly be a conscious decision. It is not affected by my feelings. [img]/forums/images/icons/grin.gif[/img]
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  #8  
Old 09-24-2002, 01:39 AM
Jedi Poker Jedi Poker is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

"Good players do not change their game depending on whether they are winning or losing."

Yes they do. When a good player is winning and senses that his opponents are somewhat intimidated by his "luck", he'll exploit his "lucky" image by temporarily shifting to a higher gear. When his cards are running bad and he senses that some of his opponents are getting "brave" and are going to take shots at him, he'll temporarily tighten up on his playing requirements in order to keep them out of striking distance.
Needless to say, this is much more true in tourneys than in live games due to the relative stack size factor.

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  #9  
Old 09-24-2002, 02:03 AM
Jedi Poker Jedi Poker is offline
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Default Re: What effect does running bad have on poor players

"When you feel that your emotions are taking over, GO HOME"....and do not come back!.....until you've learned the skills nescessary to detach, go above, and go to a meta position relative to your emotions.
There is nothing that could happen within a poker session that could possibly be traumatic enough to justify allowing one's emotions to take over oneself. Nothing.
It's okay to let emotions take over when there is a major and real life tragedy like death in a family for example. But let's keep poker in perspective. Getting outdrawn by runner runner inside straights 30 times in one session is nothing. Poker's just a game. Let us learn to laugh at our own bad beats.

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  #10  
Old 09-24-2002, 02:14 AM
Jedi Poker Jedi Poker is offline
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Default Ed Seykota

As market wizard Ed Seykota said, "Know the subtle difference between "intuition" and "into-wishing"."
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