Sox-Yanks odds

[Nate tha' Great]

FWIW I have a little model that predicts baseball outcomes based on the score after a given inning. It accounts both for the quality of each offense and the quality of opposing pitching.

As of the middle of the 2nd, the model places the Red Sox odds of winning the game are about 86.5%. This accounts for the fact that Derek Lowe sucks.

Update: Sox up to 89.9% after the Yanks go scoreless in the second.