Folding AK

[Sluss]

This is an auto push for me. You will see any A call here and a pretty good shot you won't see AA or KK because "those hands are too good to raise this much pre-flop." Sometimes you will see a smaller pocket pair, but the times you will see these and lose the coinflip will be less than you double up.

[jcm4ccc]

I don't think you can discount AA or KK, because people play kind of crazy at the $6 Turbos. I would put MP1 on the following hands:

AA - 88
AK - AT

According to PokerStove, I would win 55% of the time if I went all-in against those hands.

So is folding better than pushing?

Fold:
I would win 10.7% of the prize pool (ICM calculations)

All-in (assuming he calls, which I think is a fair assumption on the $6 Turbos):
55% of the time: 20% of the prize pool
45% of the time: 0% of the prize pool

equals
11% of the prize pool.


So folding and pushing are about even. I would opt for folding then, because I think I am better than the average $6 Turbo player.

However, I probably should stop being a wimp and call his bet, rather than fold.