Strategy Question

Good analysis. It's not "trusting" my read that is the issue, I think it's the combination of good pot odds IF he has aces ALONG with the possibility that he doesn't have aces. I don't have to commit to one read or the other, I can place a probability distribution on it.

For example, if I was a money dog should he have aces but a favorite should he have suited, the combination may make it worth playing (I didn't run the numbers). In this case, with a large pot coming up, I think playing has a large long run EV advantage.

Thanks for the insightful comments.