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  #11  
Old 03-21-2005, 09:38 PM
Paul2432 Paul2432 is offline
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Location: Bryn Mawr, PA USA
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Default Re: +EV Push???

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I push here 100% of the time. If anything other than a higher pocket pair calls you are ahead. So the question is, how often will an opponent hold a higher PP? I figure you will be up against a higher pair around 15% of the time.

So stealing is clearly profitable in chips. Whether its profitable in money, I don't know, but suspect that it is.

Paul

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A very close approximation for pocket pairs behind is:

(# of pocket pairs better than yours * # of players behind) / 2

In this case you have 10*4 / 2 or 20% chance of a bigger pocket pair behind.

Pokerscott

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I did actual calculations to come up with my number. 16% is probably closer.

Paul
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  #12  
Old 03-21-2005, 10:37 PM
Pokerscott Pokerscott is offline
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Default Re: +EV Push???

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I did actual calculations to come up with my number. 16% is probably closer.

Paul

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Really? Every actual calculation I have seen of this stat is within +/- 0.5% of the approximation. 16% is much lower than the 20% approximation. Hmmm. I need to look up the approximation thread lol.

Pokerscott
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