a bit on game thoery

[Louie Landale]

Lets ignore your pair of Aces since I didn't understand that anyway. So you both know the opponent has a straight, suits unknown and cannot improve, and you have a flush draw but only you see your last card.

If the opponent is going to get 9:1 to call then you theoretically need to make sure that you bet for value 9 times for every 1 that you bluff. Since you have 9 good cards to catch you need to bluff with one other card.

- Louie

Now the opponent should likewise call 9 times and fold once, just to keep YOU in line. Yes, he may very well use the suit of HIS last, figuring to always call if he catches your suit and fold some of the other times. But that fact doesn't affect you at all.

Actually, it probably does. I suspect it will mean you need to bluff 1/9 as often as you normally would but I have no idea how to calculate that. So bet if you catch your spade. Bluff if you catch the 8h unless you have an 8 or the two red 7s in your hand.

Or forget all that: bluff with any 8 if he's "worried"; don't bluff if he's not. The difference between playing perfect and almost perfect is really minisule.

[EjnarPik]

And the difference betweem a good and a bad speller is miniscule.

Sorry, couldn't help it.

Ejnar Pik, Southern-Docks.

[Louie Landale]

Its "betweam".