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Can you try for a free card here?
Loose NorCal 3-6 game (this is important because the button has a live $3 charge). UTG with Q [img]/forums/images/icons/spade.gif[/img] Q [img]/forums/images/icons/heart.gif[/img] .
I raise, get one or two cold-callers (I think two), the button tosses in 3 chips, and the blinds come along. 11 small bets in the pot. Small blind is pretty loose, big blind is on the tighter side. Flop: A [img]/forums/images/icons/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/forums/images/icons/heart.gif[/img] 5 [img]/forums/images/icons/heart.gif[/img] I'm not crazy about this flop (understandably) and am even less enthused when the small blind bets, and the big blind calls. I've got a tight image, and it's very possible (I can't quite say "likely") that if I raise here to represent a big ace, I'll get the button and at least a free turn card. What I think I know: - The latter two of the three people to act after me could have an ace if they cold call. The first one, two to my left would likely re-raise if he has an ace, and will cold call with a draw. - If the small blind has an ace, he will probably not lay down, ever. - If the big blind has a weak ace, he is capable of laying it down. - If my raise is successful in getting the button, the blinds may very well check to the raiser, and I'll get the river card for free as well. I don't want to discount the possibility that I'm still good here, but it seems unlikely...however, does that justify a fold in this case? This is a situation that comes up pretty frequently (pair vs. one overcard on the board) but in the case where the overcard is an ace, it's almost a certainty that at least one of the blinds has one. What do you all think? |
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