Further analysis requested.

[Pot Luck]

Hello all -- thanks in advance for your feedback.

Weekly Single Table No Limit Home Tournament

5 Players Remain
Chip Leader 35000
2nd 23300
3rd 19000
HERO 13600
Short Stack 5100
BLINDS 500/1000 200 Ante

HERO is Big Blind

Short Stack - Under The Gun (Just got sucked out on last hand for 13000) Goes ALL-IN for 5100

2nd - FOLD
Chip Leader - CALLS 5100
3rd - FOLD
HERO - Big Blind for 1000 - Has 99

I have played 50 Tournaments with these guys so I have good read on them all. UTG short stack is the Tightest player in our group, but throws in the towel quick if he gets down short. I figure he is all in with an A or K. Chip Leader is loose. He loves to make loose calls against desperate ALL-IN players. Probably has overcards, middle suited connectors or worse.

I RE-RAISE ALL-IN for 8500 more.

Chip Leader CALLS.


UTG shows A5o
Chip Leader shows KQo
HERO shows 99 -- I am only a slight favorite (?)


Obviously I am looking at whether my play was logical or not, but I am most interested in the evaluation of the Chip Leaders call of my ALL-IN for 8500 more. I figure by the time he has to make his decision there is 25300 in the pot (Antes 1000 + UTG ALL-IN 5100 + Chip Leaders Call 5100 + Small Blind 500 + HEROs ALL-IN 13600). He needs 8500 to call. The pot odds are roughly 3 to 1. He has only over cards and has got to figure he is up against an A or a Pair. In either case he needs atleast a K or Q to improve. 5 Handed there are 10 cards dealt out leaving 42. He has 6 outs to improve. 42/6 the odds are 6 to 1 on him improving. (?) He is 6-to-1 to improve and the pot was only offering 3-to-1 ------> HIS CALL WAS INCORRECT?

RESULTS***** A King Flopped and 2 players are out. Last 3 in the money against a giant Chip Leader.


Chip Leader looks at me -- shrugs and says, "I was pot committed -- I had to call." ------> This was a stupid thing for him to say (5100 in the pot with 29900 left is not pot committed is it?) I smile and nod.


Break it down for me PLEASE.


Pot Luck