Probability Quiz II
You receive an invitation to your High School Reunion. The Invitation went to all who were born in 1960. You talk about it to your school friend. You both know that about 180 guys in your school were born in 1960. Your friend proposes to you the following bet: You will not be able to find two guys on the reunion that have the exact same birthday. If he wins, he will get $100, if you win you will get $100. You both have no information on the birth dates.
You organized the last reunion 10 years ago and based on that experience you estimate that only about 40 people will actually show up. Should you take the gamble? At what odds?
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12-23-2004, 07:53 AM
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