Called down with two-pair

[River2Pair]

This one has been bugging me since about two weeks ago.

Live 4/8

Game was very good, most flops were six-way or more. I limp in with K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in the cutoff.

Flop is A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].

I wasn't too thrilled about that flop especially when UTG, who seemed to be the most rational player at the table, bet.

Three callers to me, I call, closing the action.

Turn was a 3, same action.

River was a 7 (no flush possible). UTG bets. It folds to me and I call.

Should I have raised somewhere? River?

I figured nobody would lay down an ace if I raised on the flop, and people play so many A-rag hands that I'd have no idea if I was still ahead (if I indeed was ahead on the flop) when the turn card and river came out. At the same time, I thought I needed to show my hand down unless an ace came out or I was faced with two bets cold.

So is keeping people in the pot my best strategy here?

[bisonbison]

This sucks.

Raise the flop.

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This sucks.


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I couldn't have said it better myself.

That's as passive as it gets man. You don't want to be that kind of player at the table. Get pushing your edges. Hands like these make you lots of money in the long run!

[River2Pair]

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This sucks.


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I couldn't have said it better myself.

That's as passive as it gets man. You don't want to be that kind of player at the table. Get pushing your edges. Hands like these make you lots of money in the long run!

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I believe Bobby Baldwin, in Super System said that there is no hand that has lost him more money than bottom two pair.

Of course he is referring to much tougher games.

So am I wrong to not see my hand as a monster here?

[Brian462]

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So am I wrong to not see my hand as a monster here?

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You're wrong for thinking you need a monster to raise on the flop.

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This sucks.


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I couldn't have said it better myself.

That's as passive as it gets man. You don't want to be that kind of player at the table. Get pushing your edges. Hands like these make you lots of money in the long run!

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I believe Bobby Baldwin, in Super System said that there is no hand that has lost him more money than bottom two pair.

Of course he is referring to much tougher games.

So am I wrong to not see my hand as a monster here?

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Avoid any and all limit advice in Super Systems.

You don't need a monster to raise on the flop. You need the best hand enough times based on what the pot is laying you.

This is a clear flop raise.

[MoDOH]

You have to either raise the flop or the Turn. Just calling down is bad...

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I figured nobody would lay down an ace if I raised on the flop

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You don´t raise because you want an A to fold,although that would be nice. You raise because you have the best hand and want to make all one pair hands and gutshot pay for drawing out on you.

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and people play so many A-rag hands that I'd have no idea if I was still ahead (if I indeed was ahead on the flop) when the turn card and river came out

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Well of course you don´t know if you are ahead or not. You haven´t defined your hand yet.

[housenuts]

i raise the flop for sure. if nothing else you get an idea of who's serious about this hand. after that if someone bets into you you have to be cautious but i can't see myself folding

[River2Pair]

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i raise the flop for sure. if nothing else you get an idea of who's serious about this hand. after that if someone bets into you you have to be cautious but i can't see myself folding

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See, thats the thing. I can't see myself folding either, unless I get counterfeited. I don't really want to get 3-bet either, when plenty of people were content to come along for the ride one bet at a time and then fold the river. The way I played it, the main risk I faced is that when I am ahead, I am letting hands like QJ to stick around for cheap.

I'm not sure yet whether aggression is right in this spot. What I did didn't feel right at the time, and still bothers me to some extent.

How often do you guys think I'm ahead on the flop?

How often that I am ahead on the flop, will I still be good on the river?

[Harv72b]

I tend to agree...call the flop bet, then pop your raise on the turn when it's more expensive.

As far as being scared of UTG's initial bet, if he really is a rational (I read this as "good") player, he would have raised preflop with AK, AA, or KK. That takes care of 3 of the 5 possible hands that are ahead of you right now.

Regarding your more recent questions:

The main risk you faced was not allowing a hand like QJ to stick around for cheap. The main risk you faced was allowing any A to stick around for cheap and outdraw you by pairing their kicker or by a runner-runner board pairing coming down to counterfeit your 2 pair (not to mention another A coming). Since you didn't mention how many players saw the flop initially I can't figure the exact pot odds, but it's highly unlikely that anyone on QJ had odds to call even one bet after the blank turn (he's only drawing to 4 outs at that point, meaning the pot would have to be at least 11.5 BBs to justify a call). On the other hand, aside from already having top pair & seeing no aggression to suggest that isn't good, anyone with an A who is still behind you now has 8 outs to beat you (maybe more than that if the turn 3 made 2-suited on the board).

Based on the preflop betting, I think you're ahead on the flop at least 75% of the time...probably far higher than that. As I said, assuming nobody limped with AK, AA, or KK, there are only 2 possible holdings that beat you.

How often you're still good on the river depends largely on how you play the hand. By raising the turn (if not the flop), you greatly increase the chances that you will be.