aks bb, turn play

wdeadwyler · #1 10-07-2005, 04:24 PM

Villain is 67/31 1.33 aggro, 18/67 showdown/win ratio after 38 hands. Loose preflop.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Also, if my hand isnt best, what % of the time does UTG have to fold for this to be +ev

Hero ($81.41)
UTG ($50.62)
MP ($76.90)
CO ($85.75)
Button ($49.10)
SB ($19.50)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
UTG raises to $3, 4 folds, Hero raises to $8.5, UTG calls $6.

Flop: ($18.25) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $12, UTG calls $12.

Turn: ($42.25) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players) Hero ???

hfrog355 · #2 10-07-2005, 04:34 PM

I'd put in about a 1/3 - 1/2 pot bet and hope he doesn't go over the top.

I think you have to put in a continuation bet here simply because he didn't raise you on the low card flop. If I'm him, I'd be reraising you on that flop. Obviously, if you get reraised after the above bet you fold, but if he just calls he's given you a chance to hit any one of your potential live overs or the flush.

wdeadwyler · #3 10-07-2005, 07:11 PM

Only one reply, no one thinks this is interesting?

emil3000 · #4 10-07-2005, 07:58 PM

Betting like hlaf the pot seems proper... He probably isn't strong, and won't raise. If he does, things are icky. You probably have to fold, which is horrible. I don't think that'll happen tho. He'll likely call or fold.

elus2 · #5 10-07-2005, 08:29 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Betting like hlaf the pot seems proper... He probably isn't strong, and won't raise. If he does, things are icky. You probably have to fold, which is horrible. I don't think that'll happen tho. He'll likely call or fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

check stack sizes. folding is not option if we put any money in on the turn.