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#1
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Or do you want to bet more than enough to fold to get them to fold?
In TOP, it talks about you wanting people to chase flushes when they don't have the proper odds to but do you want this in a Party SnG structure or do you want them to fold and take the pot now? Example... I think villian is on a flush draw here (Party 33). How much do I bet and why? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (8 handed) converter SB (t430) Hero (t700) UTG (t825) UTG+1 (t1720) MP1 (t640) MP2 (t815) CO (t2215) Button (t655) Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG calls t30, UTG+1 calls t30, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero checks. Flop: (t105) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t75</font>, UTG calls t75, UTG+1 calls t75. Turn: (t330) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets ? |
#2
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when i put someone on a flush draw I'll push t360 is a lot of chips!
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#3
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Is this a pot odds question, or is it deeper than that?
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#4
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just take the pot immediately
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#5
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Vs. Flush
Holdem Hi: 44 enumerated boards containing Qs 4s Jd 6h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 6c Qh 36 81.82 8 18.18 0 0.00 0.818 As 7s 8 18.18 36 81.82 0 0.00 0.182 Vs. KJ Holdem Hi: 44 enumerated boards containing Qs 4s Jd 6h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 6c Qh 39 88.64 5 11.36 0 0.00 0.886 Jc Kh 5 11.36 39 88.64 0 0.00 0.114 Eh, that looks better than the coinflips that are so often advocated on this board. |
#6
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If you make a pot-size bet, it makes it unprofitable for them to chase, I believe. This does not mean that some people won't chase anyway but you want to make it so they made a mistake doing so and got lucky. Never take away this advantage.
If the poker gods are being especially righteous, villain chases and hit the nut flush with the 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] on the river. If they're gonna chase in an unprofitable situation, they're conna pay off your boat big time. |
#7
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push. you want that pot right there.
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#8
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You want him to draw here. That way you are either back in contention or ready to play a new tournament. Make it 200-250. That makes it incorrect to draw, and if you pretty sure of a flush draw, you can still get away with T500 left if it hits the river.
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#9
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This is something I've been considering a lot recently, especially after reading a lot of very confusing opinions in the "Should I slowplay my KK" thread where many people advocted pushing to win the pot right there rather than attempt to milk chips out of the opponent.
I don't love your example because your hand is weak and I don't think it's so easy to simply put him on a flush draw. Let's say for a better example though, same stack sizes and blinds, and you've got KQ and you can see his cards and his cards are 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Now what do people do? If I could see his card and know for a fact that he had only 9 outs against me, I'd be happy to bet half the pot here, have him make a bad call, and win an extra 150 chips 80% of the time. 20% of the time he his his flush, and I'm down to 445 and fold. So four times out of five here my stack is now 1075 and one time out of five I'm at 445. Mind you in real life I can't SEE his cards, so half the pot (giving him 3:1 to call) may not be a large enough bet to get him to make a significant error, because if his hand as the A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] he has more outs, and if he's got the J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] he's got even more outs. His nightmare hand for me if he's got two spades is A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and that means to get him to make a nice big mistake I'd need to bet more than the size of the pot which means a push anyways. I feel like I'm rambling on, but my view on this is that if I know for a fact I can let my opponent make a clear mistake that is profitable for me the majority of the time then I'll do it, but since most of the time no situation is so clear cut, I'll err on the side of forcing the issue and getting the chips right away rather than risk it. |
#10
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i think that in tournament play in general, you would rather win the pot or charge a lot for the draw if it means that you will be crippled if they hit their draw (or if you would be unable to get away from your hand)--- in SNGs, you usually don't have enough chips to fool around with to let them draw.
i think it's different in cash play--- as long as you don't pay them off if they hit. |
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