7cs8 4 and 5 card lows

A four card low (eg. 2,4,5,7) on 4th street has

a 71% chance of completing an eight low or bettor

by the river (ref. Planet Poker stats.) Statistic-

cally then, a board four card low (eg. 2,4,5,7 for

an opponents board) has a 29% chance of not being

a completed low on at showdown. This all ignores

exposed cards and playing style. Also, if an you

start with a three card low (eg. 2,4,5) and catch

low on 4th and 5th for an apparent made low, it's

only 40% likely you haven't paired.

How does this affect your play in a hand?

Give examples.

I've seen cases where a pair on the board has

folded to a single bet on the river by a board

four card low. Unless the pot is small, I believe

this is a mistake heads-up on the river. Also,

their is so little informatiom available on 7cs8,

compared to the major types of poker, I see

nothing wrong with throwing out a stat or two in

hopes of getting some kind of discussion going.