Vary Ants

KramerTM · #1 08-02-2005, 04:59 PM

Which causes the most variance at the SnGs?

1. Bad beats
2. Running into big hands on the bubble
3. Bad runs of cards that never gave us a chance
4. Inconsistent play on our part
5. Other

Just curious. I think this post might help put people at ease when they're on a bad run, just being reminded how many factors there are that comprise a bad run.

45suited · #2 08-02-2005, 05:02 PM

yes

KramerTM · #3 08-02-2005, 05:05 PM

[ QUOTE ]
yes

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While I appreciate the bump... care to elaborate?

tshort · #4 08-02-2005, 05:08 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Which causes the most variance at the SnGs?

[6. Player actually sucks and has previously been getting lucky.]

Recommend: day job.

[/ QUOTE ]

Irieguy · #5 08-02-2005, 05:11 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Which causes the most variance at the SnGs?

1. Bad beats
2. Running into big hands on the bubble
3. Bad runs of cards that never gave us a chance
4. Inconsistent play on our part
5. Other

Just curious. I think this post might help put people at ease when they're on a bad run, just being reminded how many factors there are that comprise a bad run.

[/ QUOTE ]

Variance isn't caused by any of these things. Variance is a statistical inevitability whose boundaries are defined by the payout structure of SNGs.

I tried to explain it: HERE

Irieguy

KramerTM · #6 08-02-2005, 05:12 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Which causes the most variance at the SnGs?

[6. Player actually sucks and has previously been getting lucky.]

Recommend: day job.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

I guess I should have limited this thread to downswing variance for a good player.

KramerTM · #7 08-02-2005, 05:14 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Which causes the most variance at the SnGs?

1. Bad beats
2. Running into big hands on the bubble
3. Bad runs of cards that never gave us a chance
4. Inconsistent play on our part
5. Other

Just curious. I think this post might help put people at ease when they're on a bad run, just being reminded how many factors there are that comprise a bad run.

[/ QUOTE ]

Variance isn't caused by any of these things. Variance is a statistical inevitability whose boundaries are defined by the payout structure of SNGs.

I tried to explain it: HERE

Irieguy

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, but the variance intrinsic in all of the these things comprise, at least in part, your total variance at the SnGs.

tshort · #8 08-02-2005, 05:15 PM

Variance includes up-swings.

mmbt0ne · #9 08-02-2005, 05:16 PM

This isn't going to be a worthwhile thread. All we can establish here is precisely what people should be bitching about.

KramerTM · #10 08-02-2005, 05:23 PM

[ QUOTE ]
This isn't going to be a worthwhile thread. All we can establish here is precisely what people should be bitching about.

[/ QUOTE ]

OK. Feel free to delete.