#1
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AA vs KK odd question
Hope the math gods can help me figure this out. SOmething strange has happened to me last 2 days.
Out of 9 KK hands I have played (frequency is correct), I have lost 7 to AA I think odds of AA vs KK is 23:1 SO what would be odds of losing 7 of 9 to AA? Thanx Jim |
#2
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Re: AA vs KK odd question
Well I cant answer your question exactly (at least not the point that I would trust.) However the odds of this happening varies w/ the #of players at the table. The odds of 1 opponent making aa to your kk is 220:1. However if there are 5 opponents at the table table w/ you, the odds of them having aces is 44:1 (220:1/5) However, i do not know the equation for having that happen 7 times.
Im not sure if that helps, but thats as much as I know! 4 6 |
#3
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Re: AA vs KK odd question
[ QUOTE ]
However the odds of this happening varies w/ the #of players at the table. The odds of 1 opponent making aa to your kk is 220:1. However if there are 5 opponents at the table table w/ you, the odds of them having aces is 44:1 (220:1/5) [/ QUOTE ] Actually the odds of a specific opponent having AA while you hold KK is about 203:1, remember 2 Ks are no longer available for him to have so his chances are increased. At a full (10-handed) table, 23:1 is about right for the odds of running into AA while holding KK. |
#4
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Re: AA vs KK odd question
[ QUOTE ]
Hope the math gods can help me figure this out. SOmething strange has happened to me last 2 days. Out of 9 KK hands I have played (frequency is correct), I have lost 7 to AA I think odds of AA vs KK is 23:1 SO what would be odds of losing 7 of 9 to AA? Thanx Jim [/ QUOTE ] I could be wrong, but assume 10-handed table in all cases. Out of a run of 9 KKs, you will run into AA 7 times about 1 time in 6,436,343. (I just ran 1/23^7*22/23^2 {odds of AA^7 * odds of no AA^2}, this could be an over-simplicication of how do do this) Against a given AA you should win about 18%, so the odds of those 7 AAs sweeping you are around 3:1. Odds of running into AA 7 times and having them sweep you is somewhere around 1 in 26 Million. Obviously, this proves Party is rigged. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] |
#5
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Re: AA vs KK odd question
I recently just posted this exact same question... next time do a search before you post. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#6
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Re: AA vs KK odd question
[ QUOTE ]
Obviously, this proves Party is rigged. [/ QUOTE ] I knew it |
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