Cool it on the river?

imaptone · #1 12-22-2004, 01:26 AM

The evil one in the small blind has a Vp of 64% and a pfr of about 2%. The raiser seems compliant with me winning the pot.

I am having trouble knowing when to lay back and this hand is a good example. I find that these late raises seem to mean more having played this level only for less than 10000 hands. Should I check call the river? Bet fold? Bet call and whine like a bitch if I lose?

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG folds, Hero calls, UTG+2 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 raises, Button folds, SB calls, BB folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (7 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP3 bets, SB calls, Hero raises, MP3 folds, SB calls.

Turn: (6 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, SB calls.

River: (8 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, SB raises, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 12 BB

PokeHer · #2 12-22-2004, 02:32 AM

The 3 certainly didn't help him. Either he is trying to bluff or he held a very good hand and let you lead the betting so he could pop one on the river. If you lose, I guess its to TT or clubs. How is this guy's play postflop? Is he as passive as he is preflop?

Bottom line- I just call there because raising has -EV as if he is bluffing, he will fold, and if he's got you, he will certainly at least call.

You can whine like a bitch if you lose to 22 33 or 45 [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

billyjex · #3 12-22-2004, 02:43 AM

The river bet is a clear value bet. It'd help to know his aggression postflop, but I would probably still call his raise on the river if it was very low because i'm too curious.

But you'll be ahead here more often than not, so bet.

imaptone · #4 12-22-2004, 11:14 AM

Results in white below: 
SB has 7c 4c (flush, ace high).
Hero has As 9s (two pair, aces and nines).
CO doesn't show.
Outcome: SB wins 12 BB.