Re: Royal on the Flop
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If we wanted to get extremely picky wouldn't we have to calculate some probabilities of actually seeing the flop when you hold 2 to the royal.
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Yes, good point, but it is not unreasonable to assume that suited broadways are always played. Against a raise or 3-cold people will sometimes fold them, but the assumption is still reasonable.
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For example, I raise AKs preflop and get 5 callers. Most of the callers aren't going to have 72o or hands like that. It is more likely they have QQ, JT, JJ, etc. It is also very probable that they have cards to your royal if they called in the first place.
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None of this matters. The only thing we have to worry about is when people fold their suited broadways. The chance that other people may hold the cards to complete your royal is implicitly factored into my calculation. So this type of thing is not impossible to do the math on. The only thing that is impossible to estimate exactly is the chance of people folding suited broadways.
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