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Old 10-04-2005, 08:15 AM
12AX7 12AX7 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 142
Default Fluctuation probablities?

Hi Everyone,
I'm sure this has been done elsewhere. But here goes.

Suppose a player is breakever, how often should he expect a 10 BB downswing? 20BB? etc.

Suppose the player is the hypothetical "expert" at 1BB/hr (or what ever the equivalent is for 100 hands per hour, the online measure).

What I'm trying to figure out, is how much of a downswing is typical for a session of say 4 hours, 8 hours etc. so I can gauge how much is just the inherent variablity of the game vrs. how much of it is the "I suck a HE" factor. LOL!
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