About 31% of the time
"What percentage of the time can you expect to win a heads-up hand in holdem while holding AK that goes unimproved?"
I run a sim of 11 mln rounds of AKs against random hands, heads-up.
AKs won 66.21% of the time, lost 32.14% and tied 1.65%.
AKs had the following hands after the River:
SF 0.05%
Quads 0.12%
Full House 2.23%
Flush 6.52%
Straight 3.09%
Trips 4.34%
Two pairs 22.13%
One pair 43.29%
No pair 18.22%
In the 18.22% of the time that AKs did not improve, Big Slick
Won 5.64%
Lost 12.43% and
Tied 0.16% of the time.
From the above you may conclude that, on average, and against a random hand, when you find yourself in the situation that your AKs has not improven after the last card is dealt, you can expect to win abt 31%, to lose 68%, and to tie 1% of the time.
--Cyrus
PS : By the way, the advice given by Smaegol might make it appear as suggesting that folding all unimproved Big Slicks at the end of a limit HE round is always correct, when faced with a bet. It isn't so, IMHO, and particularly not when heads-up.
|