Re: Probabilities of hitting a flush draw on the flop
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You have suited cards.
Number of ways to make a four flush on the flop:
C(11,2) * C(39,1) = 2145
Number of way to flop a flush:
C(11,3) = 165
Since there are C(50,3) = 19,600 possible flops here are your aswers:
Four flush: 2145/19600 = 10.9% or 8.1:1 against.
Flush: 165/19600 = 0.84% or 117.8:1 against:
Four flush or flush: 2310/19600 = 11.8% or 7.5:1 against.
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My bad. I worked the four-flush slightly wrong. I do these in a strange long-hand way, so it's easy to mess up a calc. My corrected calc for the 4 flush only is: ((11/50)*(10/49)*(39/48))*3 = 10.9%
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